2020 Rankings Comparison

This was not a contest.  The TeamBrunnhilde LMpts rating correctly picked 21 of 23 games on regional Friday and didn’t look back.  LMpts finished 212-64, 76.8%, the highest accuracy for any ranking in these competitions since the current tournament formats were introduced in 2017.  LMpts finished 17 games ahead of 2nd place LMwl (similar to LMpts but just considering wins and losses).  MaxPreps, a close second in 2019, was 22 games behind in third place.  WIAA RPI was 30 games behind and 9 games behind their performance in 2019.

LMpts had 6 champions.  Next best was Captured WL with 4.  MaxPreps, the two RPI rankings (WIAA RPI and TeamBrunnhilde RPI) had 3, as did the composite.  King’s boys who LMpts had #1 in what looked like a mistake before the tournament,ran the table winning all five games on their plate.  This was similar to the Foss boys in 2017 who also had lost four out-of-state holiday games before winning five state games to become 2A champion that year (20th in WRPI and 1st in LMpts).  So maybe that mistake isn’t.  Or maybe I just notice when the mistake isn’t fatal.

Every year LMpts has been the best ranking method since I began this exercise in 2015.  It is not a ranking that could be used for seeding for several reasons.  But it does represent a benchmark showing the degree of accuracy than can be obtained from a well understood standard numeric algorithm.  No fiddling required.  Full results.