Data Derived Rankings of the Teams

Rankings are a means of summarizing a large amount of data. By the end of the season there will be over 4000 games for each gender for high schools in Washington state. It would be difficult for even the most devoted fan to see more than a hundred games.

I present several data-driven ranking methods. One is based based on a statistical linear model of points scored in games, another on RPI. Both have strengths and weaknesses. Consultation of various rankings and WATCHING GAMES is recommended to make ones own determination of which teams are best. I also show Colley ratings and the statistical linear model using just win-loss data (collapsing points to a 1-0 score).

How do the ratings do?

In general, the statistical linear model using points kicks butt.

Various Rankings compared for 2022 State Tournaments

Various Rankings compared for 2020 State Tournaments

Various Rankings compared for 2019 State Tournaments

Various Rankings compared for 2018 State Tournaments

Various Rankings compared for 2017 State Tournaments

Various Rankings compared for 2016 State Tournaments

How did the ratings do in 2014-2015?

Note that rankings are subject to change as more games are added. For recent years data is fairly complete.

2022-2023 Girls' Rankings

2022-2023 Boys' Rankings

2021-2022 Girls' Rankings

2021-2022 Boys' Rankings

2020-2021 Girls' Rankings

2020-2021 Boys' Rankings

2019-2020 Girls' Rankings

2019-2020 Boys' Rankings

2018-2019 Girls' Rankings

2018-2019 Boys' Rankings

2017-2018 Girls' Rankings

2017-2018 Boys' Rankings

2016-2017 Girls' Rankings

2016-2017 Boys' Rankings

2015-2016 Girls' Rankings

2015-2016 Boys' Rankings

2014-2015 Girls' Rankings

2014-2015 Boys' Rankings

2013-2014 Girls' Rankings

2013-2014 Boys' Rankings

2012-2013 Girls' Rankings

2012-2013 Boys' Rankings

2011-2012 Girls' Rankings

2011-2012 Boys' Rankings

2010-2011 Girls' Rankings

2010-2011 Boys' Rankings

2009-2010 Girls' Rankings

2009-2010 Boys' Rankings

2008-2009 Girls' Rankings

2008-2009 Boys' Rankings

2007-2008 Girls' Rankings

2007-2008 Boys' Rankings

2006-2007 Girls' Rankings

2006-2007 Boys' Rankings

2005-2006 Girls' Rankings

2005-2006 Boys' Rankings

2004-2005 Girls' Rankings

2004-2005 Boys' Rankings

2003-2004 Girls' Rankings

2003-2004 Boys' Rankings

2002-2003 Girls' Rankings

2002-2003 Boys' Rankings

2001-2002 Girls' Rankings

2001-2002 Boys' Rankings

2000-2001 Girls' Rankings

2000-2001 Boys' Rankings

1999-2000 Girls' Rankings

1999-2000 Boys' Rankings

1998-1999 Girls' Rankings

1998-1999 Boys' Rankings

1997-1998 Girls' Rankings

1997-1998 Boys' Rankings

1996-1997 Girls' Rankings

1996-1997 Boys' Rankings

1995-1996 Girls' Rankings

1995-1996 Boys' Rankings

1994-1995 Girls' Rankings

1994-1995 Boys' Rankings

1993-1994 Girls' Rankings

1993-1994 Boys' Rankings

1992-1993 Girls' Rankings

1992-1993 Boys' Rankings

1991-1992 Girls' Rankings

1991-1992 Boys' Rankings

1990-1991 Girls' Rankings

1990-1991 Boys' Rankings

1989-1990 Girls' Rankings

1989-1990 Boys' Rankings

1988-1989 Girls' Rankings

1988-1989 Boys' Rankings

1987-1988 Girls' Rankings

1987-1988 Boys' Rankings

1986-1987 Girls' Rankings

1986-1987 Boys' Rankings

1985-1986 Girls' Rankings

1985-1986 Boys' Rankings

For 2020-2021 season (entirely played in 2021), calculating rankings is problematical. The teams split into several subsets with no games against teams in other subsets. While it is possible to calculate some of the ratings in such a situation, it is not possible to make comparisons between ratings from the various subsets. It would be similar to throwing in the NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA, and St. Alphonso's sixth-grade intramural badminton league, all into one calculation. For girls there were ten subsets, and for boys there were seven. For both boys and girls, one of the subsets had most of the teams: 287 for girls, and 302 for boys. Restricting calculations to those sets makes a valid presentation for those teams. Maybe I'll post that sometime.